Epsom Derby: Roaring Lion to spoil the Ballydoyle Party in Saturday’s DerbyPublished May 30, 2018
Saxon Warrior will go off a short-priced favourite for the 2018 Investec Derby on Saturday but at the 13-2 available with Betfair Sportsbook Roaring Lion looks a better value alternative.
Roaring Lion – 13-2 with Betfair Sportsbook. 4.30pm Epsom Saturday 2nd June
An odds-on chance with all bookmakers there is little doubt that the horse most likely to pass the post in front at the end of the 2018 Investec Derby is the unbeaten Saxon Warrior, winner of the Qipco 2000 Guineas and the big Classic hope from the all-conquering Ballydoyle stable of Aidan O’Brien who will be attempting to win the great race for a seventh time. The big question however is does the son of Deep Impact represent anything in the way of value at odds of 8-11 and the answer has to be a definite no?
Many horses will a similar profile to Saxon Warrior have failed to deliver on the big occasion at Epsom, either through a lack of stamina or an inability to handle the unique undulations of the course, making taking short odds about any horse a risky proposition. For that reason and with many bookmakers going a quarter the odds a place an each-way investment on the John Gosden-trained Roaring Lion could prove more rewarding.
The mount of Oisin Murphy is 2-0 down in his encounters with the favourite but there is every reason to believe the Kitten’s Joy colt can come out on top at Epsom following his hugely impressive victory when stepping up in trip at York last time, coming home by an imperious four and a half lengths in the Group 2 Betfred Dante Stakes over one mile two and a half furlongs.
UK ??— Mstf GRGC (@Hcum3) May 17, 2018
Dante Stakes (Gr2)
York, 2060m, 3yo
1st Roaring Lion (USA) by Kitten's Joy
2nd Mildenberger (GB)
3rd Zabriskie (IRE) pic.twitter.com/MGKX5YInag
Only a neck behind Saxon Warrior as a two-year-old in Doncaster’s Racing Post Trophy, Roaring Lion ran better than his finishing position of fifth in the 2000 Guineas would suggest as the colt ended up racing alone up the unfavoured stands side. Whether he can make up the two and a half lengths he was beaten at headquarters is unclear but there may be very little between the two horses at Epsom, making the Gosden runner the logical value bet.